Connect with us

Business

Oil prices hover around $67-68 amid global trade uncertainties

Published

on

OIL prices are currently hovering around $67- $68 per barrel, despite weak global demand and ongoing uncertainties in the global trade market. The main factor contributing to this is the impact of President Trump’s global tariffs, which are affecting consumers worldwide. The level of tariff increases has shocked the global economy, though it remains uncertain whether the current U.S. administration will maintain its stance or implement a three-month pause. The question here is: how long will global trade remain in such a state of unpredictable turmoil? How will the global economy navigate through these uncertainties? A global recession seems inevitable, and its effects are being felt in all countries.

How will the world economy be reshaped post-recession? It may possibly lead to new mechanisms for global restructuring and sharing, with perhaps a new economic and trade alliance. Will China dominate the global economy? How will other countries fit into a new economic structure and alliance outside of the US? Or will the US be part of this new order? After such a turbulent experience with unpredictable tariffs being imposed without proper foresight or long-term strategy, who will want to partner with America? These actions have caused panic in the global economy, causing market chaos with little to no warning. In just 24 hours, the global markets were thrown into turmoil, with stock markets nearly paralyzed and all eyes glued to the screens, unsure of how to react.

Kamel Al-Harami

As a result, oil companies are scaling back their long-term projects and slowing down drilling activities. Shale drillers, in particular, are reducing operations. These same companies, which helped the US become one of the largest oil producers in the world with over 13.5 million barrels of crude oil production, are now facing challenges. With the current US oil price at $63 per barrel, shale producers cannot continue searching for new oil reserves.

Their internal economics require a price range of $60-$70 per barrel to be viable. Adding to the difficulties, the price of steel has risen by 25 percent due to new tariffs, and a 10 percent levy on other drilling equipment is further raising costs. As a result, the break-even point is being pushed above $70 per barrel. If prices don’t rise to this level, new wells will not be drilled, leading to further cost-cutting and job reductions. We then enter the same cycle, where both major oil companies and smaller local producers struggle to sustain operations amidst low oil prices. The conversation shifts back to the boardroom, where decisions are made regarding future plans, with an eye on potential optimistic scenarios for oil prices.

At the same time, companies must navigate hard challenges, including adjusting to new figures, dealing with tariffs, and cutting costs. The important question remains: how to weather this storm and for how long? Oil-producing countries, too, will soon face the reality of meeting with global financial institutions to borrow billions to cover their massive annual budget deficits. For some of these nations, this will be their first experience with deficit financing. Oil prices are up but demand is definitely down. It is now time to save… and to save wisely.

By Kamel Al-Harami

Independent Oil Analyst

Business

Trump and Putin hint at US-Russia trade revival, but business environment remains hostile

Published

on

By

NY495

Russian President Vladimir Putin holds a meeting with members of Russia’s business community at the Kremlin in Moscow, Russia on May 26. (AP)

WASHINGTON, May 31, (AP): Hundreds of foreign companies left Russia after the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, including major US firms like Coca-Cola, Nike, Starbucks, ExxonMobil and Ford Motor Co. But after more than three years of war, President Donald Trump has held out the prospect of restoring U.S.-Russia trade if there’s ever a peace settlement.

And Russian President Vladimir Putin has said foreign companies could come back under some circumstances. “Russia wants to do largescale TRADE with the United States when this catastrophic ‘bloodbath’ is over, and I agree,” Trump said in a statement after a phone call with Putin. “There is a tremendous opportunity for Russia to create massive amounts of jobs and wealth. Its potential is UNLIMITED.”

The president then shifted his tone toward Putin after heavy drone and missile attacks on Kyiv, saying Putin “has gone absolutely crazy” and threatening new sanctions. That and recent comments from Putin warning Western companies against reclaiming their former stakes seemed to reflect reality more accurately – that it’s not going to be a smooth process for businesses going back into Russia.

That’s because Russia’s business environment has massively changed since 2022. And not in ways that favor foreign companies. And with Putin escalating attacks and holding on to territory demands Ukraine likely isn’t going to accept, a peace deal seems distant indeed. Here are factors that could deter US companies from ever going back: Russian law classifies Ukraine’s allies as “unfriendly states” and imposes severe restrictions on businesses from more than 50 countries.

Those include limits on withdrawing money and equipment as well as allowing the Russian government to take control of companies deemed important. Foreign owners’ votes on boards of directors can be legally disregarded. Companies that left were required to sell their businesses for 50% or less of their assessed worth, or simply wrote them off while Kremlin-friendly business groups snapped up their assets on the cheap. 

Continue Reading

Business

Trump tells US steelworkers he’s going to double tariffs on foreign steel to 50%

Published

on

By

MDJE421

US President Donald Trump speaks to reporters in the rain after arriving on Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews, Md on May 30. (AP)

WEST MIFFLIN, Pa, May 31, (AP): US President Donald Trump on Friday told Pennsylvania steelworkers he’s doubling the tariff on steel imports to 50% to protect their industry, a dramatic increase that could further push up prices for a metal used to make housing, autos and other goods. In a post later on his Truth Social platform, he added that aluminum tariffs would also be doubled to 50%. He said both tariff hikes would go into effect Wednesday.

Trump spoke at US Steel’s Mon Valley Works-Irvin Plant in suburban Pittsburgh, where he also discussed a details-to-come deal under which Japan’s Nippon Steel will invest in the iconic American steelmaker. Trump told reporters after he arrived back in Washington that he still has to approve the deal. “I have to approve the final deal with Nippon and we haven’t seen that final deal yet, but they’ve made a very big commitment and it’s a very big investment,” he said.

Though Trump initially vowed to block the Japanese steelmaker’s bid to buy Pittsburgh-based US Steel, he reversed course and announced an agreement last week for “partial ownership” by Nippon. It’s unclear, though, if the deal his administration helped broker has been finalized or how ownership would be structured.

Nippon Steel has never said it is backing off its bid to outright buy and control US Steel as a wholly owned subsidiary, even as it increased the amount of money it promised to invest in US Steel plants and gave guarantees that it wouldn’t lay off workers or close plants as it sought federal approval of the acquisition. “We’re here today to celebrate a blockbuster agreement that will ensure this storied American company stays an American company,” Trump said as he opened an event at one of US Steel’s warehouses.

“You’re going to stay an American company, you know that, right?” As for the tariffs, Trump said doubling the levies on imported steel “will even further secure the steel industry in the US.” But such a dramatic increase could push prices even higher. Steel prices have climbed 16% since Trump became president in mid-January, according to the government’s Producer Price Index.   

Continue Reading

Business

Kuwait Wins Big at Sharjah Finance Awards

Published

on

By

Kuwait’s Minister of Finance Noura Al-Fassam in a group photo.

KUWAIT CITY, May 29: The Ministry of Finance said it won the third edition of the Sharjah Award for Public Finance (2024-2025) in recognition of its outstanding role in providing financial services. Representatives of 17 countries vied for the award, the Ministry noted in a press release on Wednesday. Minister of Finance Noura Al- Fassam stated that winning this award reflects the ministry’s efforts in improving the efficiency of financial performance and enhancing the quality of services provided. The ministry confirmed that it is continuing to develop financial services under directives from the Council of Ministers towards digitizing services. The statement added that Al-Fassam received the award on behalf of the ministry, which participated in the digital payment project for government services that enables government entities to purchase online, pay government fees, and meet various needs to fulfill their financial obligations. (KUNA)

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2025 SKUWAIT.COM .