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OPEC+ to boost oil output despite stagnant demand

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WITH Brent crude oil prices hovering around $67 per barrel, OPEC+ appears to be running out of patience. The group is set to pump more oil into the already saturated market, regardless of its outcome, which could further weaken the oil prices. However, O P E C + ’ s justification for its intention remains unclear. It raises questions about the reasoning behind pumping more oil at a time when global demand is stagnant and international trade is nearly at a standstill, largely due to the ongoing tariff war between the United States and China. Is this move part of a price war aimed at reclaiming OPEC+’s traditional market share from new suppliers who have benefited from the organization’s production quotas? If so, it may serve the interests of non-OPEC+ producers by keeping prices stable at the expense of OPEC+ members themselves.


Starting in June, the oil organization is set to increase production for the second consecutive month, largely due to some member states failing to comply with agreed quotas, most notably Kazakhstan and Iraq. This non-compliance has contributed to further weakening of oil prices. Both countries have found excuses for not adhering to their committed quotas, citing national interests and concerns over potential damage to oil wells if production is halted. Iraq, which is the largest over-producer among them, has pledged to curb output but has continued to raise its production every month since April.

In any case, lack of total compliance with OPEC quotas is not uncommon, and OPEC+ has a long history of quota violations. Typically, commitments hold for the first 30 days, after which the breakdown of the quota system gradually begins to unfold. The current weak oil price, which is below $70 per barrel, is a cause for concern among global oil producers. For some, this price level falls below their break-even point when factoring in production costs, profits, and shareholder dividends. Oil prices will undoubtedly return to previous levels, but this requires a rebound in global trade and strict discipline and full compliance with production quotas by OPEC+.

By Kamel Al-Harami, Independent Oil Analyst

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The Central Bank of Kuwait supplies banks with new banknotes for Eid Al-Adha

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The Central Bank of Kuwait supplies banks with new banknotes for Eid Al-Adha

The Central Bank of Kuwait

KUWAIT CITY, June 1: The Central Bank of Kuwait (CBK) announced on Saturday that it has completed the distribution of new Kuwaiti banknotes in various denominations to all local banks, ensuring sufficient supply to meet public demand ahead of Eid Al-Adha.

In a press statement, the CBK invited customers wishing to obtain new banknotes to visit their respective bank branches during official working hours.

The statement added that Kuwaiti banks will announce the locations of designated branches offering the “Ayadi” cashing service, as well as other available methods for customers to receive new banknotes.

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Trump and Putin hint at US-Russia trade revival, but business environment remains hostile

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Russian President Vladimir Putin holds a meeting with members of Russia’s business community at the Kremlin in Moscow, Russia on May 26. (AP)

WASHINGTON, May 31, (AP): Hundreds of foreign companies left Russia after the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, including major US firms like Coca-Cola, Nike, Starbucks, ExxonMobil and Ford Motor Co. But after more than three years of war, President Donald Trump has held out the prospect of restoring U.S.-Russia trade if there’s ever a peace settlement.

And Russian President Vladimir Putin has said foreign companies could come back under some circumstances. “Russia wants to do largescale TRADE with the United States when this catastrophic ‘bloodbath’ is over, and I agree,” Trump said in a statement after a phone call with Putin. “There is a tremendous opportunity for Russia to create massive amounts of jobs and wealth. Its potential is UNLIMITED.”

The president then shifted his tone toward Putin after heavy drone and missile attacks on Kyiv, saying Putin “has gone absolutely crazy” and threatening new sanctions. That and recent comments from Putin warning Western companies against reclaiming their former stakes seemed to reflect reality more accurately – that it’s not going to be a smooth process for businesses going back into Russia.

That’s because Russia’s business environment has massively changed since 2022. And not in ways that favor foreign companies. And with Putin escalating attacks and holding on to territory demands Ukraine likely isn’t going to accept, a peace deal seems distant indeed. Here are factors that could deter US companies from ever going back: Russian law classifies Ukraine’s allies as “unfriendly states” and imposes severe restrictions on businesses from more than 50 countries.

Those include limits on withdrawing money and equipment as well as allowing the Russian government to take control of companies deemed important. Foreign owners’ votes on boards of directors can be legally disregarded. Companies that left were required to sell their businesses for 50% or less of their assessed worth, or simply wrote them off while Kremlin-friendly business groups snapped up their assets on the cheap. 

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Trump tells US steelworkers he’s going to double tariffs on foreign steel to 50%

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US President Donald Trump speaks to reporters in the rain after arriving on Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews, Md on May 30. (AP)

WEST MIFFLIN, Pa, May 31, (AP): US President Donald Trump on Friday told Pennsylvania steelworkers he’s doubling the tariff on steel imports to 50% to protect their industry, a dramatic increase that could further push up prices for a metal used to make housing, autos and other goods. In a post later on his Truth Social platform, he added that aluminum tariffs would also be doubled to 50%. He said both tariff hikes would go into effect Wednesday.

Trump spoke at US Steel’s Mon Valley Works-Irvin Plant in suburban Pittsburgh, where he also discussed a details-to-come deal under which Japan’s Nippon Steel will invest in the iconic American steelmaker. Trump told reporters after he arrived back in Washington that he still has to approve the deal. “I have to approve the final deal with Nippon and we haven’t seen that final deal yet, but they’ve made a very big commitment and it’s a very big investment,” he said.

Though Trump initially vowed to block the Japanese steelmaker’s bid to buy Pittsburgh-based US Steel, he reversed course and announced an agreement last week for “partial ownership” by Nippon. It’s unclear, though, if the deal his administration helped broker has been finalized or how ownership would be structured.

Nippon Steel has never said it is backing off its bid to outright buy and control US Steel as a wholly owned subsidiary, even as it increased the amount of money it promised to invest in US Steel plants and gave guarantees that it wouldn’t lay off workers or close plants as it sought federal approval of the acquisition. “We’re here today to celebrate a blockbuster agreement that will ensure this storied American company stays an American company,” Trump said as he opened an event at one of US Steel’s warehouses.

“You’re going to stay an American company, you know that, right?” As for the tariffs, Trump said doubling the levies on imported steel “will even further secure the steel industry in the US.” But such a dramatic increase could push prices even higher. Steel prices have climbed 16% since Trump became president in mid-January, according to the government’s Producer Price Index.   

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