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US tariffs on European goods threaten to shake up the world’s largest trade relationship

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22 hours ago

July 6, 2025

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FRANKFURT, Germany, July 6, (AP): The European Union expects to find out on Monday whether President Donald Trump will impose punishing tariffs on America’s largest trade partner in a move economists have warned would have repercussions for companies and consumers on both sides of the Atlantic.

Trump imposed a 20% import tax on all EU-made products in early April as part of a set of tariffs targeting countries with which the United States has a trade imbalance. Hours after the nation-specific duties took effect, he put them on hold until July 9 at a standard rate of 10% to quiet financial markets and allow time for negotiations.

Expressing displeasure the EU’s stance in trade talks, however, Trump said he would increase the tariff rate for European exports to 50%, which could make everything – from French cheese and Italian leather goods to German electronics and Spanish pharmaceuticals – much more expensive in the U.S.

The EU’s executive commission, which handles trade issues for the bloc’s 27-member nations, said its leaders hope to strike a deal with the Trump administration. Without one, the EU said it was prepared to retaliate with tariffs on hundreds of American products, ranging from beef and auto parts to beer and Boeing airplanes.

Here are important things to know about trade between the United States and the European Union.

The EU’s executive commission describes the trade between the U.S. and the EU as “the most important commercial relationship in the world.”

The value of EU-U.S. trade in goods and services amounted to 1.7 trillion euros ($2 trillion) in 2024, or an average of 4.6 billion euros a day, according to EU statistics agency Eurostat.

The biggest U.S. export to Europe is crude oil, followed by pharmaceuticals, aircraft, automobiles, and medical and diagnostic equipment.

Europe’s biggest exports to the U.S. are pharmaceuticals, cars, aircraft, chemicals, medical instruments, and wine and spirits.

Trump has complained about the EU’s 198 billion-euro trade surplus in goods, which shows Americans buy more stuff from European businesses than the other way around.

However, American companies fill some of the gap by outselling the EU when it comes to services such as cloud computing, travel bookings, and legal and financial services.

The U.S. services surplus took the nation’s trade deficit with the EU down to 50 billion euros ($59 billion), which represents less than 3% of overall U.S.-EU trade.

Before Trump returned to office, the U.S. and the EU maintained a generally cooperative trade relationship and low tariff levels on both sides. The U.S. rate averaged 1.47% for European goods, while the EU’s averaged 1.35% for American products.

But the White House has taken a much less friendly posture toward the longstanding U.S. ally since February. Along with the fluctuating tariff rate on European goods Trump has floated, the EU has been subject to his administration’s 50% tariff on steel and aluminum and a 25% tax on imported automobiles and parts.

Trump administration officials have raised a slew of issues they want to see addressed, including agricultural barriers such as EU health regulations that include bans on chlorine-washed chicken and hormone-treated beef.

Trump has also criticized Europe’s value-added taxes, which EU countries levy at the point of sale this year at rates of 17% to 27%. But many economists see VAT as trade-neutral since they apply to domestic goods and services as well as imported ones. Because national governments set the taxes through legislation, the EU has said they aren’t on the table during trade negotiations.

“On the thorny issues of regulations, consumer standards and taxes, the EU and its member states cannot give much ground,” Holger Schmieding, chief economist at Germany’s Berenberg bank, said. “They cannot change the way they run the EU’s vast internal market according to U.S. demands, which are often rooted in a faulty understanding of how the EU works.”

Economists and companies say higher tariffs will mean higher prices for U.S. consumers on imported goods. Importers must decide how much of the extra tax costs to absorb through lower profits and how much to pass on to customers.

Mercedes-Benz dealers in the U.S. have said they are holding the line on 2025 model year prices “until further notice.” The German automaker has a partial tariff shield because it makes 35% of the Mercedes-Benz vehicles sold in the U.S. in Tuscaloosa, Alabama, but the company said it expects prices to undergo “significant increases” in coming years.

Simon Hunt, CEO of Italian wine and spirits producer Campari Group, told investment analysts that prices could increase for some products or stay the same depending what rival companies do. If competitors raise prices, the company might decide to hold its prices on Skyy vodka or Aperol aperitif to gain market share, Hunt said.

Trump has argued that making it more difficult for foreign companies to sell in the U.S. is a way to stimulate a revival of American manufacturing. Many companies have dismissed the idea or said it would take years to yield positive economic benefits. However, some corporations have proved willing to shift some production stateside.

France-based luxury group LVMH, whose brands include Tiffany & Co., Luis Vuitton, Christian Dior and Moet & Chandon, could move some production to the United States, billionaire CEO Bernaud Arnault said at the company’s annual meeting in April.

Arnault, who attended Trump’s inauguration, has urged Europe to reach a deal based on reciprocal concessions.

“If we end up with high tariffs, … we will be forced to increase our U.S.-based production to avoid tariffs,” Arnault said. “And if Europe fails to negotiate intelligently, that will be the consequence for many companies. … It will be the fault of Brussels, if it comes to that.”

Some forecasts indicate the U.S. economy would be more at risk if the negotiations fail.

Without a deal, the EU would lose 0.3% of its gross domestic product and U.S. GDP would fall 0.7%, if Trump slaps imported goods from Europe with tariffs of 10% to 25%, according to a research review by Bruegel, a think tank in Brussels.

Given the complexity of some of the issues, the two sides may arrive only at a framework deal before Wednesday’s deadline. That would likely leave a 10% base tariff, as well as the auto, steel and aluminum tariffs in place until details of a formal trade agreement are ironed out.

The most likely outcome of the trade talks is that “the U.S. will agree to deals in which it takes back its worst threats of ‘retaliatory’ tariffs well beyond 10%,” Schmieding said. “However, the road to get there could be rocky.”

The U.S. offering exemptions for some goods might smooth the path to a deal. The EU could offer to ease some regulations that the White House views as trade barriers.

“While Trump might be able to sell such an outcome as a ‘win’ for him, the ultimate victims of his protectionism would, of course, be mostly the U.S. consumers,” Schmieding said.

Related Topics:European Goods largest relationship shake tariffs threaten Trade worlds

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Global shares mostly down as Trump’s tariff deadline looms and pressure steps up

Published

2 hours ago

July 7, 2025

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Currency traders work near a screen showing the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI), top left, and the foreign exchange rate between US dollar and South Korean won at the foreign exchange dealing room of the KEB Hana Bank headquarters in Seoul, South Korea on July 7. (AP)

MANILA, Philippines, July 7, (AP): Global shares mostly fell Monday as the Trump administration stepped up pressure on trading partners to quickly make new deals before a Wednesday tariff deadline, with plans for the United States to start sending letters warning countries that higher tariffs could kick in Aug. 1. In early European trading, Britain’s FTSE 100 was down 0.2% to 8,809.23 while Germany’s DAX added 0.3% to 23,854.32.

In Paris, the CAC 40 edged down 0.1% to 7,688.34. Japan’s Nikkei 225 shed 0.6% to 39,587. 68 while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index edged down 0.1% to 23,887.83. South Korea’s KOSPI index rose 0.2% to 3,059.47 while the Shanghai Composite Index edged 0.1% higher to 3,473.13. Australia’s S&P ASX 200 fell 0.2% to 8,589.30.

Oil prices also fell after OPEC+ agreed on Saturday to raise production in August by 548,000 barrels per day, accelerating output increases since oil prices jumped, then retreated, in the aftermath of Israel and US attacks on Iran. US benchmark crude was down 71 cents to $66.29 per barrel. Brent crude, the international standard, shed 41 cents to $68.39 per barrel.

US shares were set to drift lower with S&P 500 futures declining 0.4% to 6,295.50 and Dow futures down 0.2% at 45,012. “We expect markets to be volatile into the 9-July deadline when the 90-day pause on President Trump’s reciprocal tariffs expires for non-China trading partners,” the Nomura Group wrote in a commentary. It said the near-term outlook will likely hinge on several key factors like the extent to which trading partners are included in Trump letters, the rate of tariffs, and the effective date of such tariffs.

A more distant implementation date might leave scope for some last-minute trade negotiations and maintain market optimism for potential resolutions or extensions, it added. “With the July 9 tariff deadline fast approaching, all eyes are trained on Washington, scanning for signs of escalation or retreat. The path forward isn’t clear, but the terrain is littered with risk,” Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management said in a commentary.

On Thursday, a report showed the US job market performed stronger than Wall Street expected. The S&P 500 rose 0.8% and set an all-time high for the fourth time in five days. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 344 points, or 0.8%, and the Nasdaq composite gained 1%. In other dealings Monday, the U.S. dollar rose to 145.18 Japanese yen from 144.44 yen. The euro edged lower to $1.1734 from $1.1779.

Business

Kuwait, UK seek to deepen trade and investment relations

Published

4 hours ago

July 7, 2025

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Kuwait, UK seek to deepen trade and investment relations

Kuwait’s Finance Minister Noura Al-Fassam meets UK Secretary David Lammy.

KUWAIT CITY, July 7: Kuwait’s Minister of Finance and Minister of State for Economic and Investment Affairs, Noura Al-Fassam, met on Sunday with the UK Secretary of State for Foreign, Commonwealth, and Development Affairs, David Lammy, to discuss ways of increasing bilateral trade and advancing investment cooperation between the two nations.

According to a statement issued by the Ministry of Finance, the meeting reviewed the outcomes of the recent historic visits of His Highness the Amir of Kuwait, Sheikh Meshal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah, to the United Kingdom. Both sides affirmed their commitment to further developing the strategic investment partnership between Kuwait and the UK.

As the current president of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), Kuwait emphasized its intention to accelerate negotiations on a free trade agreement between the GCC and the UK. Minister Al-Fassam conveyed this position during her discussions with the British official.

Also present at the meeting was Sheikh Saud Salem Abdulaziz Al-Sabah, Managing Director of the Kuwait Investment Authority (KIA), who reiterated the Authority’s interest in reinforcing investment relations with the UK. He highlighted the Kuwait Investment Office (KIO) in London, established over 70 years ago, as a key player in managing Kuwaiti assets across various sectors, laying a solid foundation for further expansion.

Minister Lammy expressed the UK’s readiness to support Kuwait’s development goals and contribute to major infrastructure and economic projects through British investment.

The talks were also attended by Undersecretary of the Ministry of Finance Aseel Al-Mneify, Kuwait’s Ambassador to the UK Bader Al-Munayekh, and the UK’s Ambassador to Kuwait Belinda Lewis.

Business

Safe-haven gold rockets to KD 32.89 in Kuwait

Published

16 hours ago

July 6, 2025

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KUWAIT CITY, July 6: Global gold prices witnessed a significant increase at the close of the first week of July, with the price of an ounce reaching $3,337, driven by intertwined economic and political factors that pushed investors toward gold as a haven. According to a report issued on Sunday by Dar Al- Sabaek Company in Kuwait, precious metals prices reflected global movements in the local market.

The price of 24-karat gold reached KD 32.890 (about $107), 22-karat gold was priced at KD 30.150 per gram (roughly $98), and the price of one kilogram of silver remained steady at KD 407 (around $1,329). For reference, the ounce (troy ounce), also called “awqiya”, is a unit of mass used in measuring precious metals. It equals 28.349 grams in general measurement, but 31.103 grams specifically when measuring precious metals. The report explained that growing concerns over the expanding U.S. fiscal deficit played a key role in boosting gold prices. This followed the U.S. House of Representatives’ approval of a tax cut and spending expansion package proposed by President Donald Trump’s administration.

The package is expected to increase public debt by more than $3.4 trillion over the next decade, according to estimates by the Congressional Budget Office and the Joint Committee on Taxation. This development weakened the U.S. dollar’s performance, prompting investors to increase gold holdings as protection against market volatility and the reduced purchasing power of the US dollar. The report also highlighted the rising trade tensions after President Trump announced plans to issue formal notifications to several countries about new tariffs, which could potentially reach 70 percent, set to take effect in early August. This move stirred investor fears of a further deterioration in the global trade environment.

Without trade agreements by July 9, this escalation could trigger a wave of retaliatory tariffs from nearly 100 countries, according to U.S. Treasury Secretary statements. The uncertainty bolstered gold’s appeal as a hedge during this turbulent period. In addition, the U.S. dollar index dropped to 97 points against major currencies, providing extra support to gold prices. Reduced liquidity in U.S. markets due to the Independence Day holiday helped ease selling pressure during the week’s final sessions. However, positive U.S. labor market data slowed gold’s rise.

saw an addition of 147,000 jobs, and the unemployment rate fell to 4.1 percent, reducing expectations of an immediate interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The report also noted that 10-year U.S. Treasury yields climbed to 4.338 percent, exerting further pressure on gold prices in recent sessions. Despite the U.S. market holiday, gold remained sensitive to economic and political developments amid declining risk appetite and investor anticipation of upcoming monetary policy decisions from central banks worldwide. Markets now await the release of the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, weekly U.S. jobless claims data, and monetary policy announcements from several major central banks worldwide (KUNA)