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New US Tariffs Could Tank Oil Market – What It Means for Kuwait!

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KUWAIT CITY, July 23: A number of oil and economic experts shed light on whether or not the tariffs that America imposed on the European Union and many other countries around the world affect oil prices; as well as the repercussions for the Kuwaiti economy and other countries in the region that rely primarily on oil as a primary source of income, and the action that the Kuwaiti government must take to avoid the repercussions of any looming global economic crisis.

The experts stressed the need for the Kuwaiti government to fully prepare for dealing with the repercussions of the increased US tariffs on most countries. They also emphasized the importance of reducing reliance on imported goods by expanding industry, agriculture and all other sectors related to economic growth.

Oil expert Kamel Al-Harami asserted that the Trump-like increase in US tariffs on imports from European Union countries and many other countries will impact global inflation, resulting in higher commodity prices. “This could continue for at least two years until the world adjusts to these conditions. Higher prices will lead to a decline in purchasing power in European Union countries and those affected by the tariff increase, with the expected result being a drop in the price of a barrel of oil — ranging from $65 to $70,” he explained.

He said Kuwait should use the proceeds from the sale of its stake in two companies to cover the budget deficit, while investing these funds in investment projects with good financial returns for the State budget. At the same time, he warned against becoming accustomed to borrowing. Economic expert Ahmed Al-Sadhan believes that the United States’ imposition of tariffs on the European Union will inevitably lead to a decline in trade between the two sides, which will in turn lead to global economic instability.

“One of the negative repercussions of this move is the global commodity price hike, which negatively affects the economies of importing countries, including Kuwait and other Gulf states; particularly through increased import costs and a decline in global demand for oil. If the global economy slows down due to these tariffs, oil prices will decline because of low global demand,” he explained. He suggested that in order to avoid these economic crises in light of the escalating economic conflict among the United States, the European Union and other countries, Kuwait must diversify its imports, support local industry, expand its trade partnerships, and stop total dependence on oil in the long term. Dr. Manal Al-Kandari said that Trump’s announcement of a new 30 percent tariff on European Union countries has intertwined global and regional economic dimensions.

“This could lead to a decline in European exports to the US, which will result in higher prices of European products in the US market, and a decline in demand for such products. She pointed out that this will cause enormous economic damage to European companies, especially the export-dependent industries like automobiles, aircraft, electronics and technology industries, ultimately leading to an economic recession in the European Union countries. She explained that the repercussions of this recession will spill over to global markets, including Kuwait, other Gulf states and Arab countries; considering this potential recession could reduce the European Union countries’ consumption of oil, gas and all petroleum derivatives they import from Kuwait and other Gulf states. “This is especially true given that trade between Kuwait and the European Union is steadily increasing. The trade between Kuwait and the rest of Europe is significant, as international data issued by the European Statistical Office (Eurostat) showed that Kuwaiti exports to the European Union some years ago amounted to 3.5 billion euros ($3.6 billion), compared to imports of 5.5 billion euros ($5.8 billion). Therefore, a European economic recession will affect the Gulf and Kuwaiti economies,” she added

By Najeh Bilal
Al-Seyassah/Arab Times Staff

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Global Economy Shows Signs of Improvement in Q2 2025: AEO

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Global Economy Shows Signs of Improvement in Q2 2025: AEO

Jamal Al-Loughani, Secretary-General of the Arab Energy Organization (AEO), formerly known as OAPEC.

KUWAIT CITY, Aug 13: The global economy showed signs of relative improvement in the second quarter of 2025, driven primarily by accelerated spending on imports in anticipation of higher US tariffs, alongside a general improvement in global financial conditions. This was revealed by Jamal Al-Loughani, Secretary-General of the Arab Energy Organization (AEO), in a statement to Kuwait News Agency (KUNA) on Wednesday, following the release of the organization’s second quarterly report on the global oil market.

Al-Loughani noted that the global economic growth rate forecast for 2025 was revised upward to 3%, compared to the earlier forecast of 2.8%. He attributed this positive shift to factors such as improved financial conditions and preemptive import spending. However, he cautioned that the lack of comprehensive trade agreements continues to stir concerns about the long-term impact of ongoing global trade uncertainties.

Despite this uptick in global growth, Al-Loughani pointed to a concerning 12.1% decline in the average spot prices of the OPEC basket of crudes, which fell to USD 67.4 per barrel during the second quarter. The prices of crude oil futures also recorded quarterly losses, with Brent crude and US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) falling by 10.8%, reaching $66.8 and $63.7 per barrel, respectively.

The AEO Secretary-General attributed the drop in oil prices to several factors, including shifts in US trade policy, growing concerns about a potential slowdown in global economic growth, and weaker oil demand. Additionally, he mentioned that the downgrade of the US sovereign credit rating due to rising government debt and a slowdown in China’s industrial production and retail sales further dampened investor sentiment.

Global oil supplies showed a slight increase, rising by 0.4% compared to the previous quarter, reaching 104 million barrels per day. This uptick was largely due to increased output from OPEC+ nations and the United States. On the demand side, however, global oil consumption saw a modest decline of 0.03% quarter-on-quarter, influenced by weaker demand from China and other Asian countries.

OPEC member states experienced a 9.5% decrease in crude oil exports during the second quarter of 2025, dropping to approximately $100 billion. This drop in revenue was primarily attributed to falling oil prices. Al-Loughani noted that these developments had a direct impact on the economic performance of member states, with a decline in oil revenues negatively affecting public finances and external accounts.

Despite these challenges, he emphasized that OPEC member states continued to pursue economic reforms aimed at reducing inflation, stimulating investment, and boosting labor market growth. Furthermore, the non-oil sector provided some support to these economies, helping to mitigate the overall economic impact.

Looking ahead, Al-Loughani expressed optimism for the continued growth of the oil sector, particularly with the OPEC+ decision to implement additional voluntary cuts in April and November 2023. These cuts are set to gradually increase production, reaching 411,000 barrels per day in July, 548,000 barrels per day in August, and 457,000 barrels per day in September. This increase in oil production is expected to positively affect oil revenues, which remain a crucial source of national income for member states.

Despite these positive steps, Al-Loughani warned that the global oil market remains surrounded by uncertainty. While OPEC forecasts indicate a decline in oil supplies from non-OPEC+ countries in the third quarter of 2025, global oil demand is expected to rise to approximately 105.5 million barrels per day. These projections, however, remain speculative due to several ongoing uncertainties, including escalating global trade tensions, geopolitical risks in the Middle East and Eastern Europe, and concerns over global economic growth.

Al-Loughani praised the continued efforts by OPEC+ countries, including six members of the Arab Energy Organization, to maintain balance and stability in the global oil market. These ongoing precautionary measures are aimed at ensuring the oil market remains resilient amid global economic and geopolitical challenges.

While the global economy has shown signs of recovery in the second quarter of 2025, the outlook for the oil market remains volatile, with both supply and demand factors contributing to continued uncertainty.

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Gulf Bank Concludes Successful Participation in University Admission Fairs at ‎Kuwait University and Abdullah Al-Salem University

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KUWAIT CITY, Aug 12: As part of its ongoing commitment to supporting education and empowering Kuwaiti ‎youth, Gulf Bank has successfully concluded its distinguished participation in the ‎university admission fairs at Kuwait University and Abdullah Al-Salem University. The ‎Bank actively engaged with new students, introducing them to its tailored banking ‎solutions designed specifically for young people.‎

Gulf Bank took part in the interactive admission fair held at Kuwait University’s Sabah ‎Al-Salem University City in Al-Shadadiya from 19 to 29 July 2025. The Bank’s booth ‎attracted a high turnout from students and parents, who showed great interest in the ‎banking services designed for university students.‎

Similarly, the Bank participated in the admission fair hosted by Abdullah Al-Salem ‎University at its Khaldiya campus from 6 to 17 July 2025. Gulf Bank’s presence ‎featured direct interaction with visitors, providing comprehensive information on ‎student accounts and other tailored services.‎

These participations are part of Gulf Bank’s continuous efforts to strengthen ‎engagement with youth and support them in the early stages of their academic journey. ‎Alongside sharing information on academic majors and admission processes, the ‎Bank also offered financial tips to help students manage their resources effectively ‎from the start of their university life.‎

At both events, Gulf Bank showcased its red account, one of its leading banking ‎solutions designed for customers aged 15 to 25. The account offers a wide range of ‎benefits, including prepaid cards, exclusive discounts, rewards on purchases, and ‎access to unique events and experiences that enrich both personal and professional ‎growth. ‎

Beyond its features, the red account serves as a platform to promote financial literacy ‎among youth, equipping them with the knowledge and skills to make informed ‎financial decisions early in life – positively shaping their future and fostering a ‎generation that is financially aware and capable of managing resources effectively.‎

Gulf Bank’s team expressed pride in supporting students throughout their high school ‎and university years, offering innovative banking services designed to keep pace with ‎their fast-paced lifestyles.‎

Gulf Bank concluded its participation by thanking the administrations of both ‎universities for organizing the fairs, which serve as valuable platforms to connect with ‎youth. The Bank reaffirmed its commitment to continuing its support for educational ‎and youth initiatives that contribute to Kuwait’s development and enhance the quality ‎of life for its students and community.‎

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Menzies Aviation set to expand MASIL operations at Mosul International Airport

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KUWAIT / LODNON, Aug 12:  Menzies Aviation, the leading service partner to the world’s airports ‎and airlines, has announced it will deliver ground, air cargo and fuelling services at Mosul ‎International Airport (OSM) in Iraq through MASIL, its joint venture with Iraqi Airways, Air BP and ‎Al-Burhan Group.‎

One fully operational, MASIL will provide a full suite of aviation services at OSM, under a new ‎‎10-year license, further strengthening its footprint in the region. This builds on MASIL’s ‎operations at Baghdad International Airport (BGW).‎

MASIL provided ground services for the presidential flight that signified the official reopening of ‎OSM. The flight, attended by Iraq’s Prime Minister Mohammed Shia’ Al Sudani, represented a ‎landmark moment in the airport’s history, which has been non-operational since 2014.‎

The milestone underscores the joint venture’s capabilities and readiness to support future air ‎traffic at the revitalised airport.‎

Mosul International Airport has undergone extensive reconstruction and is now equipped with a ‎main terminal, VIP lounge, and advanced radar surveillance system. The airport is expected to ‎be fully operational within the coming months, supporting both domestic and international flights ‎and handling an estimated 630,000 passengers annually.‎

The expansion marks a significant milestone in the continued growth of the MASIL joint venture ‎across Iraq and demonstrates Menzies’ commitment to supporting the country’s aviation ‎infrastructure and long-term development.‎

Charles Wyley, Executive Vice President Middle East, Africa and Asia, Menzies Aviation, ‎said: “We’re proud to expand our presence in Iraq with new operations at Mosul International ‎Airport through our MASIL joint venture. This is a major step in our journey to support the ‎redevelopment of Iraq’s aviation sector and bring world-class standards to the country’s airports. ‎Handling the presidential flight was a privilege and a clear signal of MASIL’s professionalism and ‎reliability as a trusted service provider.”‎

Menzies Aviation and Iraqi Airways formed MASIL in 2021 to provide ground handling, cargo, ‎and fuelling services. The joint venture includes operations at key airports including Baghdad and ‎will soon include Mosul, as it continues to support the modernisation of Iraq’s aviation sector.‎

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