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OPEC+ is shifting focus to market share over prices

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OPEC+ appears to be taking relentless action to push more oil into the market, regardless of the consequences. The organization is clearly focused on regaining its lost market share and is determined to sideline less competitive producers in the process. The message is clear – control of the oil market rests with it. The group seems unconcerned about weakening oil prices or whether its member states can meet their budget targets. Many are now being forced to resort to borrowing just to finance their annual budgets. Oil prices are still below $70 per barrel, yet OPEC+ continues to flood the market with more supply.

Today, the organization appears more interested in boosting oil volumes to generate higher overall revenues, rather than aiming for higher prices with limited output. As a result, the group has agreed to increase production again next month, marking six consecutive months of output hikes. This indicates a clear change in strategy – volume and revenue have become the new policy. Eight OPEC+ members, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, the United Arab Emirates, and Kuwait, have decided to increase crude oil output, collectively adding around 137,000 barrels per day to the market. However, the actual increase may end up being significantly lower, possibly closer to 60,000 barrels per day.

This time, OPEC seems less concerned about the potential for further price declines and more focused on boosting overall revenues. The strategy may also be aimed at pressuring less competitive producers and discouraging further output increases from non-OPEC countries. The priority has clearly shifted to higher production, and most importantly, higher revenues. OPEC appears to believe that now is the right moment to reclaim lost ground and maximize its earnings after years of sacrificing market share in pursuit of higher prices. So far, OPEC+ has increased its oil production by more than 2.5 million barrels per day, with additional volumes expected to be approved for November as well. The group appears firmly committed to prioritizing production volumes and generating more cash.

It is clear that a shift in policy has taken place. OPEC+ is now discussing ramping up output and reclaiming lost market share. Since April 2023, OPEC+ has been aiming to recover its lost volume of 1.7 million barrels per day. The question on everyone’s mind is whether OPEC+’s earlier decision to cut production to raise oil prices has failed. Over time, it has become increasingly clear that the policy did not deliver the desired results. This is evident in the cartel’s recent shift to set aside production quotas and allow member states more freedom to produce, seemingly waiting to see how the market responds. The big uncertainty now is whether the market still needs more oil or not. Today, the market is closely observing to see how long OPEC+ will remain patient, and at what price level the group might be prompted to intervene once again.

Is this a test by OPEC+ to determine the market’s tolerance for increased crude oil volumes? Or perhaps a way to identify its own price floor? There are also growing questions about leadership within the group. Has OPEC+ lost its central guiding force? Why, for example, should Saudi Arabia continue to bear the burden of production cuts alone, especially when other members reap the benefits while contributing little or nothing to the collective effort? Saudi Arabia’s sacrifices have been limited and short-term, and without proportional reward.

By Kamel Al-Harami
Independent Oil Analyst
 Email: naftikuwaiti@yahoo. com

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CAPT sets Oct 27 for price talks on Jaber Al-Ahmad entrances project

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KUWAIT CITY, Oct 13: The Central Agency for Public Tenders (CAPT) has approved the request of the Ministry of Public Works to set Oct 27 as the date for negotiating prices with the four companies bidding for the establishment of entrances and exits at Jaber Al-Ahmad City. CAPT decided during its meeting last Wednesday. All bidders have been required to include detailed price and quantity tables in their bids. The agency excluded two companies for not meeting the conditions and specifications, and the bidding process closed on Feb 18.

The project includes the establishment of entrances and exits in two locations in Jaber Al-Ahmad Residential City — one is the southern entrance and exit linking to Jahra Road, and the other is the eastern entrance and exit linking to Doha Road. It is worth noting that the ministry has been holding negotiation sessions with the winning companies to determine the best and most cost-effective bid.

By Mohammad Ghanem Al-Seyassah/Arab Times Staff

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Companies and funds can own real estate in Kuwait under strict controls

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KUWAIT CITY, Oct 13: As part of the State’s efforts to regulate the ownership of investment and commercial real estate and ensure balance between attracting foreign investment and preserving the privacy of the local market, Decree No. 195/2025 on the controls for real estate ownership by companies, real estate funds, and investment portfolios was issued. This is in implementation of the provisions of Decree-Law No. 74/1979 regulating real estate ownership by non-Kuwaitis. Article One of the decree, which was published in ‘Kuwait Al-Youm’ recently, stipulates that subject to the provisions of the aforementioned law, companies with non-Kuwaiti partners and listed on licensed stock exchanges in Kuwait, as well as real estate funds and investment portfolios licensed by the competent authorities, may own real estate within the country, subject to specific controls. The decree indicates that one of the basic conditions is that the purpose of the company, fund or portfolio must include dealing in real estate.

It prohibits any form of dealing in real estate, plots or land designated for private housing in any location or within any project, in a move aimed at protecting the residential character and preventing speculation in this vital sector. Article Two of the decree clarifies that its provisions do not prejudice the right of entities subject to the supervision of the Central Bank of Kuwait or others to own real estate in accordance with the law. It affirmed that citizens of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries shall continue to be treated the same as Kuwaitis regarding ownership of land and built property in the State of Kuwait. Article Three states that the ministers—each within their respective jurisdiction—shall be responsible for implementing the provisions of the decree, which shall take effect from the date of its publication in the official gazette.

By Marwa Al-Bahrawi Al-Seyassah/Arab Times Staff

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Factors behind the reversal of losses and profitability

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KUWAIT CITY, Oct 12: Kuwait Integrated Petroleum Industries Company (KIPIC) aims to raise its profits for fiscal 2025/2026 by increasing its sales in local and international markets, which have been robust since the beginning of the year, say reliable sources. Sources pointed out that KIPIC recovered from the losses it suffered in previous years through the growth of its net profits, which amounted to about KD52.2 million in the 2024/2025 budget. They cited five main factors behind this growth.

First is the increase in the refining capacity of Zour Refinery, which reached 615,000 barrels per day in May 2024, ranking seventh globally in terms of production quantities. They explained that the refining capacity of the refinery in the years prior to its operational opening ranged between 205,000 and 410,000 barrels per day. The second factor behind KIPIC’s profit growth over the past year is the commencement of the merger of oil companies, particularly the merger of KIPIC into the Kuwait National Petroleum Company (KNPC), to shake off the losses.

The third factor is the result of the implementation of the spending rationalization policy pursued by the CEO of KNPC, who also serves as the acting CEO of KIPIC, Wadha Al-Khatib. The KNPC spending rationalization committee implemented spending rationalization last year, achieving financial savings for KIPIC estimated at KD27 million through this approach. Sources explained that the implementation of rationalization coincided with the provision of better products. The fourth factor is the focus on stimulating KIPIC’s sales in global markets by opening new markets. In the first half of 2025, the company was able to expand its sales of sulfur and diesel, in addition to producing the best type of low-sulfur jet fuel, and then exporting all of its products that comply with international requirements.

The fifth factor is the company’s interest in digital transformation, focusing on developing all aspects related to global technologies, including artificial intelligence, as these technologies are extremely useful in detecting and anticipating errors before they occur, which contributes to stable production. Sources added that there are other important factors behind KIPIC’s profitability, such as the signing of numerous contracts with international companies specializing in smart energy, renewing contracts with the largest global platforms related to technological development in the field of oil refining, and strengthening relationships with major refining companies to mutually benefit from each other’s expertise.

By Najeh Bilal Al-Seyassah/Arab Times Staff

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