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Shell to take over BP? Is it about to happen?

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FOR the past six months, financial newspapers in the UK and around the world have been focused on two major oil companies – Shell and BP. Today, however, the two companies are reportedly engaged in serious discussions. One company has declined to comment, while the other has remained silent. The British press is generally supportive of a takeover by Shell, emphasizing that as a British company, Shell represents a “Jewel in the Crown” that should remain under British ownership rather than being acquired by a foreign entity.

Meanwhile, BP is struggling to keep pace with its peers and has been divesting parts of its core business, such as Castrol lubricants. BP may have made a critical error by moving too quickly away from oil and gas towards alternative energy sources like wind and solar, aiming to lead the energy transition. This shift left the company lagging and weakened, making it vulnerable to acquisition. Over the past 12 months, BP’s share price has dropped by 22 percent. At its peak, BP was so powerful it could influence governments and interfere in domestic politics in some parts of the world. Today, all of that is history, as BP is now searching for potential buyers. Shell is a British multinational oil and gas company listed on the London Stock Exchange, making it a good fit to acquire BP due to their similar cultures. The main difference is that Shell started as an oil trading company, while BP, through the British Empire, acquired oil and gas fields in some of the richest hydrocarbon countries in the world, including the Arabian Gulf, starting in Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, and Kuwait.


Interestingly, BP chose not to invest in Kuwait, claiming it already had too much oil under its control. Shell, however, has stated it has no intention of making a takeover offer for BP and has denied claims of being in active merger talks. It may be taking its time to decide, possibly waiting for other companies to submit bids before evaluating its own offer. Given the similarities and synergies in place, Shell is well-positioned to make an offer. If the acquisition is completed, Shell would become the largest oil company, surpassing ExxonMobil and Chevron. BP’s current market value is estimated at around $80–83 billion, while Shell is valued at approximately $200 billion, nearly three times BP’s worth.

How far and for how long the talks or speculation surrounding a potential BP takeover will continue remains uncertain. The ongoing rumors are creating volatility and may further weaken BP’s position, potentially contributing to a decline in its market value. Other oil giants, such as the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC), are reportedly exploring the possibility of acquiring parts of BP. However, ADNOC appears more interested in acquiring specific segments of the company rather than taking over BP as a whole. BP, as a global energy giant, does not align entirely with ADNOC’s structure.

It is significantly larger, with a wide array of operations and an expansive international footprint, which would make full acquisition and management a difficult task. In a few days, we may learn the outcome of these discussions and whether Shell intends to move forward with a takeover. BP appears poised for acquisition, but it needs the right partner, one capable of unlocking the full benefits of potential synergies. Undoubtedly, Shell is the most prepared and best positioned to take over. For other international oil companies, acquiring and managing one of the historic “Seven Sisters” would be a significant challenge. Shell, on the other hand, seems to be taking its time to determine the right price before making a move to acquire its longtime peer and competitor.

By Kamel Al-Harami

Independent Oil Analyst

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Real estate transactions dip sharply in Kuwait

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KUWAIT CITY, Sept 9: The real estate market witnessed a significant decline in the number and value of transactions in the first week of September, compared to the same period last year, as well as the last week of August. This is a clear indication that the market has entered a period of relative calm and investment anticipation driven by seasonal factors and qualitative shifts in transactions, particularly commercial real estate, which accounted for about 60 percent of the total trading value during the week, compared to only three transactions. It reflects the interest of major institutions or entities in ‘heavy’ commercial transactions. The weekly report of the Real Estate Registration and Documentation Department at the Ministry of Justice for the period from Sept 1 to 3 showed that the number of real estate transactions was 62, with a total value of KD83.92 million.

These include 37 private transactions worth KD 13.5 million, 22 investment transactions worth KD 17.6 million, and three commercial transactions worth KD 52.8 million. Compared to the first week of September 2024, weekly trading recorded a decline of approximately 39 percent in the number of transactions, compared to a 16.8 percent increase in total value due to the completion of qualitative commercial deals. The number of transactions during that period reached 101, valued at KD 69.8 million, reflecting a quantitative decline versus a qualitative increase in transactions on an annual basis. Compared to trading during the fourth (and final) week of August 2025, the decline was more severe, with 139 transactions recorded, valued at KD 163.24 million.

This is a decline of approximately 55 percent in the number of transactions (77 transactions) and a 49 percent decrease in the value or KD 79.32 million. It is a clear indication that the market has entered a short-term slowdown after a remarkable wave of activity in August. Regarding private real estate transactions, they declined from 89 in the last week of August to just 37, a decrease of nearly 58 percent. The value also fell from KD 33.4 million to KD 13.5 million — by KD19.9 million, a decrease of nearly 60 percent. This indicates a decline in residential ownership activity due to travel or investors’ anticipation of market movements following the recent enactment of several real estate laws. Despite the decline in the number of investment transactions from 28 in August 2025 to 22 in September, the value of transactions increased to KD 17.6 million, compared to KD 15.3 million in August. It means continued demand for investment properties and the search for attractive, quality opportunities. As for commercial transactions, only three transactions were recorded this week, worth KD52.8 million or 60 percent of the total weekly trading value. It shows the execution of quality deals and investors’ focus on quality transactions and assets with long-term returns.

By Marwa Al-Bahrawi
Al-Seyassah/Arab Times Staff

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Kuwait urges GCC tax reform for economic integration

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Kuwait urges GCC tax reform for economic integration

Undersecretary of the Kuwaiti Ministry of Finance, Aseel Al-Munifi

KUWAIT CITY, Sept 9: Undersecretary of the Kuwaiti Ministry of Finance, Aseel Al-Munifi, on Tuesday emphasized the need to develop the tax system and achieve financial sustainability to promote economic integration among Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) member states.

Speaking at the 15th meeting of the Committee of Heads and Directors of Tax Administrations in GCC countries in Kuwait, Al-Munifi said the meeting is part of ongoing efforts to coordinate GCC tax authorities and develop mechanisms to unify joint tax policies that serve the interests of member states and their populations.

She expressed hope that the annex to amend the unified excise tax agreement would be signed at the upcoming financial and economic cooperation meeting scheduled in Kuwait next October, which will bring together the GCC finance ministers. Al-Munifi also commended the heads and directors of tax authorities and the Unified Tax System Working Group for their efforts in preparing studies, working papers, and recommendations.

Khalid Al-Sunaidi, Assistant Secretary-General for Economic and Development Affairs at the GCC General Secretariat, said the meeting continues the process of cooperation among GCC countries in tax policies. He noted that the aim is to unify tax frameworks, enhance economic integration, and support competitiveness at the regional and international levels.

Al-Sunaidi added that discussions at the meeting included outcomes from the GCC Unified Tax System Working Group on redefining energy drinks to reduce the consumption of unhealthy products, and plans to establish a comprehensive electronic system for all types of indirect taxes, alongside other related topics.

During the meeting, GCC tax heads and directors reviewed recommendations and decisions from the 14th meeting and previous sessions, submitting them to the undersecretaries of finance in the GCC. It was agreed to form a technical working group to develop the electronic system for indirect taxes and to redefine energy drinks in the Unified Excise Tax Agreement according to international definitions and classifications.

The 15th GCC Tax Committee meeting held in Kuwait.

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Kuwait aims to attract value-added direct investments

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KUWAIT CITY, Sept 9: The Kuwait Direct Investment Promotion Authority (KDIPA) on Monday announced that BlackRock has obtained regulatory approvals and commercial licenses to operate in Kuwait, reflecting confidence in the country’s economic development.

KDIPA Director General Sheikh Dr. Meshaal Al-Jaber Al-Ahmad Al-Sabah told KUNA that Kuwait is committed to attracting value-added direct investments, with a strong focus on developing national competencies, strengthening long-term partnerships, and ensuring sustainable growth based on knowledge.

BlackRock CEO and Chairman Larry Fink said the company values its decades-long partnership with Kuwait and looks forward to reinforcing it through a direct presence in the country, contributing to the financial system, and supporting the development of national competencies.

The initiative aims to achieve several strategic objectives, including enhancing mutual trust between the company and its clients and supporting Kuwait’s “New Kuwait 2035” vision, in line with BlackRock’s broader goal of contributing to the development of capital markets in the Middle East.

BlackRock will start operations in Kuwait with an office that includes a customer service team, a financial advisory team, and an Aladdin system team, enabling the provision of advanced investment solutions and services. Ali Al-Qadi has been appointed head of the Kuwait office while continuing his role as head of client team management for both Kuwait and Qatar.

The Capital Markets Authority of Kuwait officially granted a license to BlackRock Advisors – United Kingdom Limited to operate as an investment advisor in Kuwait. The authority described this as a step that underscores Kuwait’s growing position on the global financial map, noting that BlackRock is one of the world’s largest asset managers.

The CMA said the move marks a milestone in developing Kuwait’s financial market and confirms the country’s ability to attract major international institutions, aligning with national efforts to consolidate Kuwait’s vision as a leading global financial and commercial center.

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