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Markaz Sees Robust Activity in GCC Real Estate, Expects Continued Sector Growth in H2 of 2025‎

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KUWAIT CITY, Aug 17: Kuwait Financial Centre “Markaz” has released its latest real ‎estate market outlook, offering a comprehensive review of market performance across ‎Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE for H1 2025, along with forward-looking insights for H2 ‎‎2025. The report underlines the resilience of the GCC real estate sector, supported by sales ‎activity, rising property values, and investor demand across residential, commercial, and ‎hospitality segments.‎

With macroeconomic indicators showing signs of continued recovery, Markaz expects real ‎estate markets in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE to maintain upward momentum ‎through the second half of 2025. Lower interest rates, fiscal support, and sustained ‎government investment in economic diversification are anticipated to drive growth and ‎market confidence. Despite fiscal pressures in certain markets, the overall outlook for the ‎GCC real estate sector remains positive, presenting ongoing opportunities for investors, ‎developers, and stakeholders across the region.‎

Kuwait: Stable Recovery Amid Expanding Economic Activity

Kuwait’s real estate market continued its recovery in Q1 2025, supported by rising land ‎prices and rental values in the investment and commercial segments. Land prices in both ‎sectors saw annual growth across all areas, while rental rates for three-bedroom and ‎apartments of 60sq.m. apartments in the Istithmari segment posted significant year-on-‎year increases. The office segment in the commercial sector remained flat overall, though ‎select areas registered moderate growth in Q4 2024.‎

Transaction activity also reflected a positive trend. Real estate sales rose by 45.0% y/y to KD ‎‎896 million in Q1 2025, driven by gains across all segments. Sales in the residential and ‎commercial sectors increased by 38.5% and 22.9% y/y respectively, while the investment ‎segment surged by 49.0%. The number of transactions also grew by 20.9% y/y, with ‎residential and commercial transactions climbing by 11.7% and 163.6% respectively. The ‎investment segment recorded a 29.7% y/y increase in transactions, supported by a stable ‎rise in the expatriate population.‎

Markaz expects Kuwait’s real GDP to grow by 1.9% in 2025, a recovery from the 2.8% ‎contraction in 2024. This growth, fueled by the rebound in oil GDP and stable non-oil ‎performance driven by project activity, stable consumer spending, and legislative reforms, ‎is anticipated to bolster demand in the commercial and industrial real estate sectors. The ‎Markaz Real Estate Macro Index for Kuwait stands at 3.25 out of 5.0, signaling stable ‎market conditions with room for further gains in H2 2025.‎

Saudi Arabia: Momentum Builds as Diversification Drive Continues

Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector maintained solid performance in Q1 2025, underpinned by ‎a 4.3% y/y rise in the real estate price index and a 37% y/y increase in real estate sales. ‎Growth in residential and commercial property prices contributed to this trend, with the ‎residential segment recording a 5.1% y/y increase and the commercial segment rising by ‎‎2.5% y/y. Demand for commercial properties remains robust, supported by non-oil ‎economic growth and sectoral diversification.‎

Saudi Arabia’s fiscal deficit is expected to widen to 4.9% of GDP in 2025, from 2.8% of GDP ‎in 2024, largely due to lower oil prices. While reduced revenues may impact government ‎spending and project awards, the Kingdom has indicated plans to maintain its current level ‎of investment in economic diversification.‎

Based on macroeconomic indicators and real estate trends, Markaz believes that Saudi ‎Arabia’s real estate market remains in the accelerating phase in H1 2025 and is expected to ‎sustain this momentum through H2 2025.‎

UAE: Remarkable Transaction Growth and Global Investor Appeal

The UAE real estate market posted remarkable results in Q1 2025, with transaction values ‎reaching AED 239 billion (USD 65 billion). Dubai remained the standout performer, with ‎total transaction value for 2024 rising by 20% y/y to AED 761 billion (USD 207.2 billion). The ‎Emirate recorded 226,000 transactions in 2024 – up 36% y/y – and welcomed over 110,000 ‎new real estate investors, a 55% y/y increase. In Q1 2025, Dubai alone accounted for AED ‎‎142 billion in sales from 45,077 transactions, a 30% y/y increase.‎

Residential, office, and hospitality segments are expected to maintain a positive outlook in ‎H2 2025, supported by robust demand, interest rate cuts, growing tourist inflows, and ‎constrained supply in prime areas. Dubai and Abu Dhabi continue to outperform other ‎global markets in rental yield, with Dubai reaching 7.6% as of May 2025,well above yields in ‎New York (5.3%), Singapore (3.2%), and London (3.1%). With new supply expected, rental ‎rates in Dubai may begin to stabilize, giving tenants more options.‎

Markaz forecasts that the UAE’s real estate sector will continue its upward trajectory in H2 ‎‎2025, marked by steady appreciation in land prices and rental rates in both Dubai and Abu ‎Dhabi.‎

Despite evolving macroeconomic dynamics, the outlook for the GCC real estate sector ‎remains positive, with solid investor interest, government-backed initiatives, and sectoral ‎diversification continuing to support long-term growth. Markaz believes that real estate will ‎remain a key contributor to the region’s economic development through the second half of ‎‎2025 and beyond.‎

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Japan’s central bank survey shows an improved outlook for manufacturers

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The headquarters of Bank of Japan is seen in Tokyo on Jan 23, 2024. (AP)

Japan’s central bank survey shows an improved outlook for manufacturers”>

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TOKYO, Oct 1, (AP): Sentiment among Japan’s large manufacturers improved for a second straight quarter, according to a closely watched Bank of Japan survey, making a rate hike by its central bank more likely. The quarterly survey, called the “tankan,” showed the outlook among major manufacturers, the key so-called diffusion index, rose 1 point to plus 14 from the findings in June.

The survey is an indicator of companies foreseeing good conditions minus those feeling pessimistic. The tankan for large manufacturers was plus 12 in March, marking the first drop in a year. Sentiment among large non-manufacturers was unchanged at plus 34, according to the latest tankan. The relative optimism in the latest tankan reflects some relief over an agreement on tariffs with the US, reached in July.

The deal with the administration of President Donald Trump imposes a 15% tariff on most goods exported to the US. Some goods face higher tariffs. Initially, the US imposed a 25% tariff on auto imports, so the latest deal is an improvement for Japanese automakers. It also increases certainty over US policy, at least for now.

However the higher tariffs imposed on exports to the world’s biggest market are still squeezing profits, wages, investment and spending for many industries. Kei Fujimoto, senior economist at SuMi Trust, said that despite the concerns about the tariffs’ impact on Japanese corporate earnings, the damage so far has been relatively limited. Inbound tourism is also helping.

“We do not believe inbound-related demand from tourists has peaked. The number of tourists visiting Japan continues to show an upward trend,” he said. The tankan findings could influence an upcoming decision by the Bank of Japan on interest rates. The BOJ has kept rates near zero for years to help stimulate consumer spending and business investment and counter weak demand that led to deflation.

But prices have risen above the central bank’s target range of about 2%. The tankan shows the average inflation outlook for one year ahead was unchanged at 2.4%. Analysts expect the Bank of Japan to raise its benchmark rate soon, but it’s unclear if it will do so at the next meeting later this month, or later. The central bank raised its benchmark rate to 0.5% from 0.1% earlier this year.

Japan’s central bank survey shows an improved outlook for manufacturers”>

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Kuwaiti investments in Türkiye surpass $2 billion

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Ambassador of Türkiye to Kuwait, Tuba Nur Sonmez, at a reception organized by the embassy with the attendees

KUWAIT CITY, Sept 30: Ambassador of Türkiye to Kuwait, Tuba Nur Sonmez, has said that there are 427 Kuwaiti companies currently operating in Türkiye, with Kuwaiti investments exceeding two billion dollars, and that the volume of trade exchange between the two countries reached approximately 700 million dollars in 2024. In her speech at a reception organized by the embassy to mark the visit of the President of the Investment and Finance Office at the Turkish Presidency Ahmet Burak Daglioglu, Ambassador Sonmez stressed that the leadership of both countries places great importance on enhancing bilateral relations, which gained new momentum following the visit of His Highness the Amir Sheikh Meshal Al- Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah to Türkiye last year. She explained that His Highness’s visit to Ankara witnessed the signing of several agreements in the fields of bilateral trade, defense industry, and investment. Cooperation between the two countries covers various sectors, including trade, defense, tourism, and investment. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoan met with His Highness the Crown Prince Sheikh Sabah Khaled Al-Hamad Al-Sabah on the sidelines of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly.

Also, the Turkish Embassy has hosted many high-level Turkish officials over the past two years, including Minister of Trade Ömer Bolat and Minister of Treasury and Finance Mehmet imek, who held meetings and events with the Kuwaiti business community. Ambassador Sonmez affirmed that Turkiye and Kuwait are partners in all fields, based on their shared history, religious and cultural affinity, as well as common values, visions, and vibrant business communities, which are the most important pillars upon which bilateral relations are built. She clarified that the current volume of trade and investment figures does not fully reflect the depth of the relationship, affirming the mutual need to connect the business sectors of both countries, build new bridges, and strengthen dialogue. The ambassador said the visit of the Head of the Investment and Finance Office presents an opportunity to unlock joint potential, build new partnerships, undertake bold investments, and shape a future driven by mutual growth.

Meanwhile, Head of the Investment and Finance Office at the Turkish Presidency Ahmet Burak Daglioglu, on the sidelines of the reception, revealed that the visit was aimed at meeting investors, exploring available opportunities in various economic sectors, and encouraging them to invest capital, especially given the existing collaboration between the Investment Office and many Kuwaiti investors in Turkiye. He affirmed that the office supports most Kuwaiti companies with investments in Türkiye. During his visit to Kuwait, Daglioglu toured the headquarters of those companies, met with their owners, and explored opportunities to expand cooperation, particularly as the office reports directly to the Presidency. He stressed that the office aims to attract more capital in new sectors such as insurance, technology, and financial services, in addition to the traditional sectors that have long seen investment in Türkiye, such as the banking sector, particularly Islamic finance. Daglioglu emphasized that supporting entrepreneurs in the technology sector is a top priority for the office, as is assisting Kuwaiti youth in establishing their tech ventures in Türkiye, given its advanced digital infrastructure, adding that the office also helps them overcome most bureaucratic hurdles related to obtaining licenses.

By Fares Ghaleb Al-Seyassah/Arab Times Staff and Agencies

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Mexico urges US ‘consideration’ over new vehicle tariffs

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Mexico urges US 'consideration' over new vehicle tariffs

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum attends her morning press conference at the National Palace in Mexico City on April 2. (AP)

MEXICO CITY, Sept 30, (Xinhua): Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum on Monday said she hoped the United States would show “consideration” toward Mexico following the US decision to impose new tariffs on heavy vehicle imports. “We are already in talks, hoping there will be consideration toward Mexico,” Sheinbaum said during her daily press conference, adding the tariffs could be problematic for both countries.

US President Donald Trump on Thursday announced a slew of new tariffs, including a 25-percent tariff on imported heavy vehicles starting Oct 1, as part of his policy to strengthen the domestic industry. Sheinbaum noted that under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement on free trade, Mexico’s exports have grown in sectors not subject to tariffs, particularly those excluding finished vehicles, steel or copper, benefiting from the accord’s “zero-tariff” scheme. “Trade ties with the United States continue to be very important and a very significant competitive advantage for Mexico,” said Sheinbaum. 

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