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Markaz Sees Robust Activity in GCC Real Estate, Expects Continued Sector Growth in H2 of 2025‎

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KUWAIT CITY, Aug 17: Kuwait Financial Centre “Markaz” has released its latest real ‎estate market outlook, offering a comprehensive review of market performance across ‎Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE for H1 2025, along with forward-looking insights for H2 ‎‎2025. The report underlines the resilience of the GCC real estate sector, supported by sales ‎activity, rising property values, and investor demand across residential, commercial, and ‎hospitality segments.‎

With macroeconomic indicators showing signs of continued recovery, Markaz expects real ‎estate markets in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE to maintain upward momentum ‎through the second half of 2025. Lower interest rates, fiscal support, and sustained ‎government investment in economic diversification are anticipated to drive growth and ‎market confidence. Despite fiscal pressures in certain markets, the overall outlook for the ‎GCC real estate sector remains positive, presenting ongoing opportunities for investors, ‎developers, and stakeholders across the region.‎

Kuwait: Stable Recovery Amid Expanding Economic Activity

Kuwait’s real estate market continued its recovery in Q1 2025, supported by rising land ‎prices and rental values in the investment and commercial segments. Land prices in both ‎sectors saw annual growth across all areas, while rental rates for three-bedroom and ‎apartments of 60sq.m. apartments in the Istithmari segment posted significant year-on-‎year increases. The office segment in the commercial sector remained flat overall, though ‎select areas registered moderate growth in Q4 2024.‎

Transaction activity also reflected a positive trend. Real estate sales rose by 45.0% y/y to KD ‎‎896 million in Q1 2025, driven by gains across all segments. Sales in the residential and ‎commercial sectors increased by 38.5% and 22.9% y/y respectively, while the investment ‎segment surged by 49.0%. The number of transactions also grew by 20.9% y/y, with ‎residential and commercial transactions climbing by 11.7% and 163.6% respectively. The ‎investment segment recorded a 29.7% y/y increase in transactions, supported by a stable ‎rise in the expatriate population.‎

Markaz expects Kuwait’s real GDP to grow by 1.9% in 2025, a recovery from the 2.8% ‎contraction in 2024. This growth, fueled by the rebound in oil GDP and stable non-oil ‎performance driven by project activity, stable consumer spending, and legislative reforms, ‎is anticipated to bolster demand in the commercial and industrial real estate sectors. The ‎Markaz Real Estate Macro Index for Kuwait stands at 3.25 out of 5.0, signaling stable ‎market conditions with room for further gains in H2 2025.‎

Saudi Arabia: Momentum Builds as Diversification Drive Continues

Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector maintained solid performance in Q1 2025, underpinned by ‎a 4.3% y/y rise in the real estate price index and a 37% y/y increase in real estate sales. ‎Growth in residential and commercial property prices contributed to this trend, with the ‎residential segment recording a 5.1% y/y increase and the commercial segment rising by ‎‎2.5% y/y. Demand for commercial properties remains robust, supported by non-oil ‎economic growth and sectoral diversification.‎

Saudi Arabia’s fiscal deficit is expected to widen to 4.9% of GDP in 2025, from 2.8% of GDP ‎in 2024, largely due to lower oil prices. While reduced revenues may impact government ‎spending and project awards, the Kingdom has indicated plans to maintain its current level ‎of investment in economic diversification.‎

Based on macroeconomic indicators and real estate trends, Markaz believes that Saudi ‎Arabia’s real estate market remains in the accelerating phase in H1 2025 and is expected to ‎sustain this momentum through H2 2025.‎

UAE: Remarkable Transaction Growth and Global Investor Appeal

The UAE real estate market posted remarkable results in Q1 2025, with transaction values ‎reaching AED 239 billion (USD 65 billion). Dubai remained the standout performer, with ‎total transaction value for 2024 rising by 20% y/y to AED 761 billion (USD 207.2 billion). The ‎Emirate recorded 226,000 transactions in 2024 – up 36% y/y – and welcomed over 110,000 ‎new real estate investors, a 55% y/y increase. In Q1 2025, Dubai alone accounted for AED ‎‎142 billion in sales from 45,077 transactions, a 30% y/y increase.‎

Residential, office, and hospitality segments are expected to maintain a positive outlook in ‎H2 2025, supported by robust demand, interest rate cuts, growing tourist inflows, and ‎constrained supply in prime areas. Dubai and Abu Dhabi continue to outperform other ‎global markets in rental yield, with Dubai reaching 7.6% as of May 2025,well above yields in ‎New York (5.3%), Singapore (3.2%), and London (3.1%). With new supply expected, rental ‎rates in Dubai may begin to stabilize, giving tenants more options.‎

Markaz forecasts that the UAE’s real estate sector will continue its upward trajectory in H2 ‎‎2025, marked by steady appreciation in land prices and rental rates in both Dubai and Abu ‎Dhabi.‎

Despite evolving macroeconomic dynamics, the outlook for the GCC real estate sector ‎remains positive, with solid investor interest, government-backed initiatives, and sectoral ‎diversification continuing to support long-term growth. Markaz believes that real estate will ‎remain a key contributor to the region’s economic development through the second half of ‎‎2025 and beyond.‎

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Real estate transactions dip sharply in Kuwait

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KUWAIT CITY, Sept 9: The real estate market witnessed a significant decline in the number and value of transactions in the first week of September, compared to the same period last year, as well as the last week of August. This is a clear indication that the market has entered a period of relative calm and investment anticipation driven by seasonal factors and qualitative shifts in transactions, particularly commercial real estate, which accounted for about 60 percent of the total trading value during the week, compared to only three transactions. It reflects the interest of major institutions or entities in ‘heavy’ commercial transactions. The weekly report of the Real Estate Registration and Documentation Department at the Ministry of Justice for the period from Sept 1 to 3 showed that the number of real estate transactions was 62, with a total value of KD83.92 million.

These include 37 private transactions worth KD 13.5 million, 22 investment transactions worth KD 17.6 million, and three commercial transactions worth KD 52.8 million. Compared to the first week of September 2024, weekly trading recorded a decline of approximately 39 percent in the number of transactions, compared to a 16.8 percent increase in total value due to the completion of qualitative commercial deals. The number of transactions during that period reached 101, valued at KD 69.8 million, reflecting a quantitative decline versus a qualitative increase in transactions on an annual basis. Compared to trading during the fourth (and final) week of August 2025, the decline was more severe, with 139 transactions recorded, valued at KD 163.24 million.

This is a decline of approximately 55 percent in the number of transactions (77 transactions) and a 49 percent decrease in the value or KD 79.32 million. It is a clear indication that the market has entered a short-term slowdown after a remarkable wave of activity in August. Regarding private real estate transactions, they declined from 89 in the last week of August to just 37, a decrease of nearly 58 percent. The value also fell from KD 33.4 million to KD 13.5 million — by KD19.9 million, a decrease of nearly 60 percent. This indicates a decline in residential ownership activity due to travel or investors’ anticipation of market movements following the recent enactment of several real estate laws. Despite the decline in the number of investment transactions from 28 in August 2025 to 22 in September, the value of transactions increased to KD 17.6 million, compared to KD 15.3 million in August. It means continued demand for investment properties and the search for attractive, quality opportunities. As for commercial transactions, only three transactions were recorded this week, worth KD52.8 million or 60 percent of the total weekly trading value. It shows the execution of quality deals and investors’ focus on quality transactions and assets with long-term returns.

By Marwa Al-Bahrawi
Al-Seyassah/Arab Times Staff

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Kuwait urges GCC tax reform for economic integration

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Kuwait urges GCC tax reform for economic integration

Undersecretary of the Kuwaiti Ministry of Finance, Aseel Al-Munifi

KUWAIT CITY, Sept 9: Undersecretary of the Kuwaiti Ministry of Finance, Aseel Al-Munifi, on Tuesday emphasized the need to develop the tax system and achieve financial sustainability to promote economic integration among Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) member states.

Speaking at the 15th meeting of the Committee of Heads and Directors of Tax Administrations in GCC countries in Kuwait, Al-Munifi said the meeting is part of ongoing efforts to coordinate GCC tax authorities and develop mechanisms to unify joint tax policies that serve the interests of member states and their populations.

She expressed hope that the annex to amend the unified excise tax agreement would be signed at the upcoming financial and economic cooperation meeting scheduled in Kuwait next October, which will bring together the GCC finance ministers. Al-Munifi also commended the heads and directors of tax authorities and the Unified Tax System Working Group for their efforts in preparing studies, working papers, and recommendations.

Khalid Al-Sunaidi, Assistant Secretary-General for Economic and Development Affairs at the GCC General Secretariat, said the meeting continues the process of cooperation among GCC countries in tax policies. He noted that the aim is to unify tax frameworks, enhance economic integration, and support competitiveness at the regional and international levels.

Al-Sunaidi added that discussions at the meeting included outcomes from the GCC Unified Tax System Working Group on redefining energy drinks to reduce the consumption of unhealthy products, and plans to establish a comprehensive electronic system for all types of indirect taxes, alongside other related topics.

During the meeting, GCC tax heads and directors reviewed recommendations and decisions from the 14th meeting and previous sessions, submitting them to the undersecretaries of finance in the GCC. It was agreed to form a technical working group to develop the electronic system for indirect taxes and to redefine energy drinks in the Unified Excise Tax Agreement according to international definitions and classifications.

The 15th GCC Tax Committee meeting held in Kuwait.

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Kuwait aims to attract value-added direct investments

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KUWAIT CITY, Sept 9: The Kuwait Direct Investment Promotion Authority (KDIPA) on Monday announced that BlackRock has obtained regulatory approvals and commercial licenses to operate in Kuwait, reflecting confidence in the country’s economic development.

KDIPA Director General Sheikh Dr. Meshaal Al-Jaber Al-Ahmad Al-Sabah told KUNA that Kuwait is committed to attracting value-added direct investments, with a strong focus on developing national competencies, strengthening long-term partnerships, and ensuring sustainable growth based on knowledge.

BlackRock CEO and Chairman Larry Fink said the company values its decades-long partnership with Kuwait and looks forward to reinforcing it through a direct presence in the country, contributing to the financial system, and supporting the development of national competencies.

The initiative aims to achieve several strategic objectives, including enhancing mutual trust between the company and its clients and supporting Kuwait’s “New Kuwait 2035” vision, in line with BlackRock’s broader goal of contributing to the development of capital markets in the Middle East.

BlackRock will start operations in Kuwait with an office that includes a customer service team, a financial advisory team, and an Aladdin system team, enabling the provision of advanced investment solutions and services. Ali Al-Qadi has been appointed head of the Kuwait office while continuing his role as head of client team management for both Kuwait and Qatar.

The Capital Markets Authority of Kuwait officially granted a license to BlackRock Advisors – United Kingdom Limited to operate as an investment advisor in Kuwait. The authority described this as a step that underscores Kuwait’s growing position on the global financial map, noting that BlackRock is one of the world’s largest asset managers.

The CMA said the move marks a milestone in developing Kuwait’s financial market and confirms the country’s ability to attract major international institutions, aligning with national efforts to consolidate Kuwait’s vision as a leading global financial and commercial center.

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