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Fitch affirms Kuwait at ‘AA-‘ with stable outlook: CBK

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Fitch affirms Kuwait at 'AA-' with stable outlook: CBK

The Cental Bank of Kuwait

KUWAIT CITY, Sept 6: Fitch Ratings has reaffirmed Kuwait’s long‑term foreign‑currency issuer default rating at “AA‑” with a stable outlook, the Central Bank of Kuwait (CBK) said in a statement on Friday.

Fitch highlighted Kuwait’s exceptionally strong fiscal and external balance sheets as key rating supports, but noted constraints such as governance challenges, heavy reliance on oil, and the burdens of a generous welfare system and large public sector—factors that may exert long-term fiscal pressure despite efforts at spending rationalization.

Fitch forecast Kuwait’s sovereign net foreign assets will rise to approximately 607% of GDP in 2025, up from an estimated 576% in 2024—more than ten times the ‘AA’ median. These assets are primarily held in the Future Generations Fund, managed by the Kuwait Investment Authority (KIA), which also oversees the General Reserve Fund (GRF), the government’s treasury account.

On reform, Fitch noted that Kuwait has resumed efforts that were previously stalled—approving a new financing and liquidity law that allows debt issuance for the first time since 2017. The law envisages raising KD 30 billion (approximately USD 100 billion)—equivalent to about 60% of GDP—over the next 50 years. This move aims to ease pressure on the GRF, develop local capital markets, establish a benchmark yield curve, and fund development projects.

Despite improvements, Fitch projected fiscal shifts:

  • A surplus of 10% of GDP in FY2025, up from 8.9% in FY2024.
  • A budget deficit of 5.6% of GDP in FY2025, widening from 2% in FY2024—higher than the projected ‘AA’ median of 2.6%.
  • Expenditure is seen rising to support delayed capital projects but staying under 51% of GDP.
  • Oil revenue is expected to decline due to lower prices, though easing OPEC+ production quotas from Q2 2025 may counterbalance declines.
  • Around 70% of the deficit is projected to be financed through domestic and external borrowing, with the remainder covered using GRF assets.

Government debt/GDP is forecast to climb from 2.9% in FY2024 to nearly 12% by FY2027, but still remain well below the projected AA median of 52.4%.

The agency also forecast that real GDP growth will resume at 1.7% in 2025, following two years of contraction due to OPEC+ production cuts. Inflation is expected to stay below 3% during 2025–2027, though the central bank may tread cautiously on rate cuts amid rising geopolitical risks.

Fitch noted that regional conflicts and disruptions to Red Sea shipping have had minimal impact on Kuwait, owing to its sizeable sovereign assets that buffer the economy against external shocks. Nonetheless, the country’s dependence on hydrocarbons remains a key vulnerability, making its fiscal outcomes highly sensitive to movements in oil prices.

On governance, Kuwait received an ESG Relevance Score (RS) of “5[+]” for Political Stability, Rights and Rule of Law, Institutional and Regulatory Quality, and Control of Corruption. These scores, reflecting above-50th percentile rankings on World Bank Governance Indicators, strengthen Kuwait’s credit profile under Fitch’s sovereign rating model.

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Real estate transactions dip sharply in Kuwait

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KUWAIT CITY, Sept 9: The real estate market witnessed a significant decline in the number and value of transactions in the first week of September, compared to the same period last year, as well as the last week of August. This is a clear indication that the market has entered a period of relative calm and investment anticipation driven by seasonal factors and qualitative shifts in transactions, particularly commercial real estate, which accounted for about 60 percent of the total trading value during the week, compared to only three transactions. It reflects the interest of major institutions or entities in ‘heavy’ commercial transactions. The weekly report of the Real Estate Registration and Documentation Department at the Ministry of Justice for the period from Sept 1 to 3 showed that the number of real estate transactions was 62, with a total value of KD83.92 million.

These include 37 private transactions worth KD 13.5 million, 22 investment transactions worth KD 17.6 million, and three commercial transactions worth KD 52.8 million. Compared to the first week of September 2024, weekly trading recorded a decline of approximately 39 percent in the number of transactions, compared to a 16.8 percent increase in total value due to the completion of qualitative commercial deals. The number of transactions during that period reached 101, valued at KD 69.8 million, reflecting a quantitative decline versus a qualitative increase in transactions on an annual basis. Compared to trading during the fourth (and final) week of August 2025, the decline was more severe, with 139 transactions recorded, valued at KD 163.24 million.

This is a decline of approximately 55 percent in the number of transactions (77 transactions) and a 49 percent decrease in the value or KD 79.32 million. It is a clear indication that the market has entered a short-term slowdown after a remarkable wave of activity in August. Regarding private real estate transactions, they declined from 89 in the last week of August to just 37, a decrease of nearly 58 percent. The value also fell from KD 33.4 million to KD 13.5 million — by KD19.9 million, a decrease of nearly 60 percent. This indicates a decline in residential ownership activity due to travel or investors’ anticipation of market movements following the recent enactment of several real estate laws. Despite the decline in the number of investment transactions from 28 in August 2025 to 22 in September, the value of transactions increased to KD 17.6 million, compared to KD 15.3 million in August. It means continued demand for investment properties and the search for attractive, quality opportunities. As for commercial transactions, only three transactions were recorded this week, worth KD52.8 million or 60 percent of the total weekly trading value. It shows the execution of quality deals and investors’ focus on quality transactions and assets with long-term returns.

By Marwa Al-Bahrawi
Al-Seyassah/Arab Times Staff

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Kuwait urges GCC tax reform for economic integration

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Kuwait urges GCC tax reform for economic integration

Undersecretary of the Kuwaiti Ministry of Finance, Aseel Al-Munifi

KUWAIT CITY, Sept 9: Undersecretary of the Kuwaiti Ministry of Finance, Aseel Al-Munifi, on Tuesday emphasized the need to develop the tax system and achieve financial sustainability to promote economic integration among Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) member states.

Speaking at the 15th meeting of the Committee of Heads and Directors of Tax Administrations in GCC countries in Kuwait, Al-Munifi said the meeting is part of ongoing efforts to coordinate GCC tax authorities and develop mechanisms to unify joint tax policies that serve the interests of member states and their populations.

She expressed hope that the annex to amend the unified excise tax agreement would be signed at the upcoming financial and economic cooperation meeting scheduled in Kuwait next October, which will bring together the GCC finance ministers. Al-Munifi also commended the heads and directors of tax authorities and the Unified Tax System Working Group for their efforts in preparing studies, working papers, and recommendations.

Khalid Al-Sunaidi, Assistant Secretary-General for Economic and Development Affairs at the GCC General Secretariat, said the meeting continues the process of cooperation among GCC countries in tax policies. He noted that the aim is to unify tax frameworks, enhance economic integration, and support competitiveness at the regional and international levels.

Al-Sunaidi added that discussions at the meeting included outcomes from the GCC Unified Tax System Working Group on redefining energy drinks to reduce the consumption of unhealthy products, and plans to establish a comprehensive electronic system for all types of indirect taxes, alongside other related topics.

During the meeting, GCC tax heads and directors reviewed recommendations and decisions from the 14th meeting and previous sessions, submitting them to the undersecretaries of finance in the GCC. It was agreed to form a technical working group to develop the electronic system for indirect taxes and to redefine energy drinks in the Unified Excise Tax Agreement according to international definitions and classifications.

The 15th GCC Tax Committee meeting held in Kuwait.

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Kuwait aims to attract value-added direct investments

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KUWAIT CITY, Sept 9: The Kuwait Direct Investment Promotion Authority (KDIPA) on Monday announced that BlackRock has obtained regulatory approvals and commercial licenses to operate in Kuwait, reflecting confidence in the country’s economic development.

KDIPA Director General Sheikh Dr. Meshaal Al-Jaber Al-Ahmad Al-Sabah told KUNA that Kuwait is committed to attracting value-added direct investments, with a strong focus on developing national competencies, strengthening long-term partnerships, and ensuring sustainable growth based on knowledge.

BlackRock CEO and Chairman Larry Fink said the company values its decades-long partnership with Kuwait and looks forward to reinforcing it through a direct presence in the country, contributing to the financial system, and supporting the development of national competencies.

The initiative aims to achieve several strategic objectives, including enhancing mutual trust between the company and its clients and supporting Kuwait’s “New Kuwait 2035” vision, in line with BlackRock’s broader goal of contributing to the development of capital markets in the Middle East.

BlackRock will start operations in Kuwait with an office that includes a customer service team, a financial advisory team, and an Aladdin system team, enabling the provision of advanced investment solutions and services. Ali Al-Qadi has been appointed head of the Kuwait office while continuing his role as head of client team management for both Kuwait and Qatar.

The Capital Markets Authority of Kuwait officially granted a license to BlackRock Advisors – United Kingdom Limited to operate as an investment advisor in Kuwait. The authority described this as a step that underscores Kuwait’s growing position on the global financial map, noting that BlackRock is one of the world’s largest asset managers.

The CMA said the move marks a milestone in developing Kuwait’s financial market and confirms the country’s ability to attract major international institutions, aligning with national efforts to consolidate Kuwait’s vision as a leading global financial and commercial center.

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